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Curious how a generation will vote? Look at when they were kids, psychologist says

March 10, 4 year old Oswin or “Winnie” as she is called slides in the ballot of her mother Courtney Enos-Robertson as they vote on Super Tuesday at the Kittery Community Center on March 03, 2020 in Kittery, Maine.
Joe Amon
/
Connecticut Public
March 10, 4 year old Oswin or “Winnie” as she is called slides in the ballot of her mother Courtney Enos-Robertson as they vote on Super Tuesday at the Kittery Community Center on March 03, 2020 in Kittery, Maine.

To understand how a generation votes, Jean Twenge says it’s important to look back at when they grew up.

Twenge, who studies the differences between generational cohorts in America, said when it comes to how people vote, the past can inform the present.

“There’s one big analysis that suggests that generations or cohorts lean – say Democrat or Republican – based on the political party and the popularity of who was president when they were in crucial years of adolescence and young adulthood,” Twenge told Connecticut Public’s "The Wheelhouse."

Recent polling from the Pew Research Center suggests that Gen X – who were adolescents during the Reagan administration – tend to align with Republicans. On the other hand, millennials, who were adolescents during the Obama administration, tend to align with Democrats.

Twenge is the author of “Generations: The Real Differences between Gen Z, Millennials, Gen X, Boomers and Silents and What they Mean for America’s Future.”

Her work is part of a “theory of generations,” an idea posed by sociologist Karl Mannheim in 1928 that says that each generation shares a specific set of beliefs, experiences, and political inclinations.

But the political inclinations of Gen Z are in many ways, “still more of an unknown quantity,” she said.

While Gen Z tilted strongly Democrat in the last election, recent studies, like a 2024 Gallup and Walton Family Foundation poll, suggest that they may be leaning more conservative than millennials did at their age.

In regards to the upcoming election, Twenge says, “I think Gen Z is a big question mark.”

Learn More:

Listen to the full interview on "The Wheelhouse": Politics across the generations: What mark are people your age leaving on politics?

Connecticut Public's Frankie Graziano contributed to this report.

Chloe Wynne is a producer for 'The Wheelhouse' and 'Where We Live.' She previously worked as a producer and reporter for the investigative podcast series, 'Admissible: Shreds of Evidence,' which was co-produced by VPM and Story Mechanics and distributed by iHeartRadio. She began her journalism career at inewsource, an investigative newsroom in San Diego, Calif., where she covered housing, education and crime. She earned her master’s degree from Columbia Journalism School in 2021, where she focused on audio storytelling.

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SOMOS CONNECTICUT es una iniciativa de Connecticut Public, la emisora local de NPR y PBS del estado, que busca elevar nuestras historias latinas y expandir programación que alza y informa nuestras comunidades latinas locales. Visita CTPublic.org/latino para más reportajes y recursos. Para noticias, suscríbase a nuestro boletín informativo en ctpublic.org/newsletters.

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