According to the Uniform Prior, The Nose Has an 82 Percent Chance of Happening
The Rio 2016 Olympics are set to start in less than three months’ time. But Brazil’s Zika outbreak is worse than we thought. And there’s ongoing political unrest. And Rio’s water supply comes with an extra helping of “trash and contamination.” What to do? Postpone the games? Move them? Both?
And: Donald Trump is almost certainly the Republican nominee for president. And we get it: journalism lost. Everybody got it wrong. Even the data journalists. But how defensive does someone like Nate Silver need to get here? 6,000-words defensive? Or do we all just need to accept that sometimes the utterly unpredictable thing is the thing that ends up happening?
- James Hanley - Co-founder of Cinestudio at Trinity College
- Luis Figueroa - Associate professor of history at Trinity College
- Tracy Wu-Fastenberg - Director of development at the Mark Twain House and Museum
Colin McEnroe, Greg Hill, and Chion Wolf contributed to this show.